
When we started this blog 14 months ago, almost nobody outside of Arkansas and a relatively small group of reporters and Washington insiders even knew who Mike Huckabee was. The blog was getting about 10 hits a day, half of which were just blog surfers.
We were truly a loney voice crying in the darkness. We spent a lot of very frustrating time just trying to get someone-- anyone -- in the press to take Huckabee seriously. We emailed dozens of posts to reporters, dissected their stories about the "front-runners" and
whined a lot (sorry about that!).
But over time our traffic slowly grew. A few really good guys helped us out with some links (thanks
Ryan James and
Mark Coffee, especially!). John Hawkins at
Right Wing News was kind enough to link us a couple of times early on as well.
Then came Huckabee's
national book tour, and his assumption of the chairmanship of the National Governor's Association, which raised his national profile significantly.
A turning point came when Patrick Ruffini started running polls on his site that included every conceivable possible candidate for the 2008 election, including Huckabee. Just getting listed was victory #1.
Then we (meaning
you, kind readers) helped Huckabee
perform at a better-than-expected level in Ruffini's
next two polls.
Traffic to the blog continued to pick up steam. As a result of his chairmanship of the National Governor's Association, Huckabee had the chance to meet with
David Broder, who was impressed to say the least.
After that Governor Huckabee began to receive more and more mentions in the MSM and is now included on almost all of the various polls we see out there. We stopped trying to influence these polls after Ruffini left and turned them over the Hugh Hewitt (who has done a really poor job with them if you ask us).
Most importantly, Huckabee is now regularly mentioned in the short lists of "likely candidates" by virtually every MSM reporter and blogger out there. And those who have done their homework realize that Huckabee is not just a contender, but a "
lethal insurgent candidate."
So, in just 14 months, Governor Mike Huckabee has gone from almost total obscurity to being
predicted to win the Iowa caucus by ABC News.
That ain't bad, folks.
And it gets better. Here's the latest example published just today.
Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post has been publishing a column called The Fix in which he periodically analyzes the 2008 election. He has boiled his list of likely Democratic and Republican candidates down to just 5 for each party, saying "just look at the way the nomination fight has evolved over the past two cycles. In both cases, the year before the presidential election year was decisive in winnowing the field down to a few candidates who would battle it out in the primaries for the nomination."
Here are Cillizza's five Republicans, which he lists in alphabetical order:
Sen. George Allen
Rudy Giuliani
Gov. Mike Huckabee
Sen. John McCain
Gov. Mitt Romney
See why we're pleased about that? If Cillizza turns out to be right about this being the list of contenders, we'd be in a very, very strong position.
Why?
First, historically, Senators just dont get elected president. They have far too much baggage from literally thousands of votes they've cast that cannot be hidden. This is very, very hard to overcome. You can pretty much scratch Allen and McCain for that reason alone. Add to that the facts that McCain is widely despised by the conservative base and Allen may not even succeed in getting relected to his Senate seat.
Secondly, Giuliani is on this list and others by name recognition alone. He's a famous figure and a 911 hero but no one who knows anything about GOP politics believes he has a chance to win the GOP nomination. He's pro-abortion, pro-gay marriage, and anti-gun. Not. Gonna. Happen.
Finally, that leaves Huckabee and Mitt Romney. This sounds about right. Romney is a Governor, making him a historically viable candidate. He is also widely respected, charming, and charismatic, like Huckabee.
But if this battle truly comes down to Huckabee vs. Romney, we could not be more pleased. This would, in fact, be the
ideal scenario for Huckabee.
You will agree.
If you do your homework.
BSR