Wednesday, June 07, 2006

Dick Morris on Mike Huckabee

Political guru Dick Morris has just published an article titled "Gore and Giuliani: The Ones to Watch in 2008." But the title is a bit misleading. Morris is not suggesting that either Gore or Giuliani has much of a chance at becomming their party's nominee, but rather that the two are worth watching because of the problems they can cause for the presumptive "frontrunners" John McCain and Hillary Clinton.

Astute readers will notice that Morris quite rightly says that a Giuliani candidacy would most directly affect McCain, which would actually help the more conservative Republican candidate down the road to the nomination.

Morris says, "If Rudy runs, his challenge will most directly affect McCain, who then would have to battle for the moderate side of the party."

But even if McCain survives a Giuliani challenge, he still has a huge hill to climb. According to Morris, "since McCain is to the left of the GOP — despite his efforts to court the Right — he will inevitably face a runoff in the primaries against the great right hope, a title for which Virginia Sen. George Allen, Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, and Tennessee Sen. Bill Frist are competing. The problem is that McCain probably can’t win the Republican nomination. So the challenger who emerges from the right-wing mini-primary will probably be the nominee."

Very interesting and, we might add, exactly in line with what we've been telling readers of this blog for months. Now, which potential candidate among Allen, Romney, Huckabee and Frist catches Morris' eye the most?

"Allen is running a narrow first," says Morris, "with Romney slightly behind him. Frist will probably die early from diseases he caught running the Senate. Huckabee, a tremendous speaker with a clerical past and a galvanizing presence, could be a formidable late starter. My own bet is that Huckabee is the strongest of the field because of his platform skills."

BSR

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